How do we test for correlation, and test a claim about the mean of a Normal distribution?
Hypothesis testing for a correlation coefficient, and hypothesis testing for the mean of a Normal distribution using the distribution of the sample mean.
A focused answer to WJEC A2 Unit 4 hypothesis testing, covering testing a correlation coefficient against a critical value and testing the mean of a Normal distribution using the distribution of the sample mean.
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What this dot point is asking
WJEC wants you to carry out a hypothesis test for a correlation coefficient (comparing the sample with a tabulated critical value) and a hypothesis test for the mean of a Normal distribution (using the fact that the sample mean is itself Normally distributed with a smaller standard deviation). Both extend the AS binomial test to new contexts and need the same disciplined structure.
The answer
Testing a correlation coefficient
The product moment correlation coefficient measures the strength and direction of linear association in a sample, between and . A hypothesis test asks whether the underlying population correlation is non-zero.
The critical value depends on both and the significance level, and is read from a supplied table, not calculated.
Testing a Normal mean
The crucial fact is the distribution of the sample mean: averaging reduces variability.
Examples in context
Example 1. A weak but significant correlation. With a large sample of pairs, even a modest can exceed the critical value and lead to rejecting . Significance is not the same as a strong relationship: a large sample detects small effects, so always report the size of alongside the test conclusion.
Example 2. Why bigger samples sharpen a mean test. Doubling the sample size from to halves the standard error from to , so the same difference of sample mean from gives a z-statistic twice as large. Larger samples make a genuine shift in the mean easier to detect.
Try this
Q1. State the null hypothesis for a test of whether two variables are correlated. [1 mark]
- Cue. (no correlation in the population).
Q2. A sample of from is used to test the mean. Find the standard error of the sample mean. [2 marks]
- Cue. .
Q3. A sample is compared with a critical value of in a one-tailed test. State the conclusion. [2 marks]
- Cue. , so do not reject : no significant evidence of correlation.
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of WJEC exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
WJEC A2 style5 marksA sample of 12 pairs gives a product moment correlation coefficient of . Test at the 5 per cent level whether there is positive correlation, given the critical value is .Show worked answer →
Set up a one-tailed correlation test and compare the sample r with the critical value.
Let be the population correlation coefficient. , (one-tailed, positive).
The critical value for at 5 per cent (one tail) is .
The sample , so the result lies in the critical region.
Reject : there is evidence at the 5 per cent level of positive correlation between the variables.
Markers reward stating the hypotheses in terms of , comparing with the critical value, and a conclusion in context. Testing against rather than the tabulated critical value is the standard error.
WJEC A2 style6 marksA machine should produce rods of mean length with standard deviation . A sample of 16 rods has mean . Test at the 5 per cent level whether the mean length has increased.Show worked answer →
Use the distribution of the sample mean, which is Normal with the same mean and a standard deviation reduced by the square root of the sample size.
, (one-tailed).
Under , the sample mean , so its standard deviation is .
Standardise the observed mean: .
Critical z for 5 per cent one tail is . Since , reject .
There is evidence at the 5 per cent level that the mean length has increased. Markers reward the standard error , the z-statistic of , the comparison with , and a conclusion in context.
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