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How do we test for correlation, and test a claim about the mean of a Normal distribution?

Hypothesis testing for a correlation coefficient, and hypothesis testing for the mean of a Normal distribution using the distribution of the sample mean.

A focused answer to WJEC A2 Unit 4 hypothesis testing, covering testing a correlation coefficient against a critical value and testing the mean of a Normal distribution using the distribution of the sample mean.

Generated by Claude Opus 4.813 min answer

Reviewed by: AI editorial process; not yet individually human-reviewed

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  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. The answer
  3. Examples in context
  4. Try this

What this dot point is asking

WJEC wants you to carry out a hypothesis test for a correlation coefficient (comparing the sample rr with a tabulated critical value) and a hypothesis test for the mean of a Normal distribution (using the fact that the sample mean is itself Normally distributed with a smaller standard deviation). Both extend the AS binomial test to new contexts and need the same disciplined structure.

The answer

Testing a correlation coefficient

The product moment correlation coefficient rr measures the strength and direction of linear association in a sample, between 1-1 and 11. A hypothesis test asks whether the underlying population correlation ρ\rho is non-zero.

The critical value depends on both nn and the significance level, and is read from a supplied table, not calculated.

Testing a Normal mean

The crucial fact is the distribution of the sample mean: averaging reduces variability.

Examples in context

Example 1. A weak but significant correlation. With a large sample of 100100 pairs, even a modest r=0.25r = 0.25 can exceed the critical value and lead to rejecting H0H_0. Significance is not the same as a strong relationship: a large sample detects small effects, so always report the size of rr alongside the test conclusion.

Example 2. Why bigger samples sharpen a mean test. Doubling the sample size from 1616 to 6464 halves the standard error from σ4\dfrac{\sigma}{4} to σ8\dfrac{\sigma}{8}, so the same difference of sample mean from μ0\mu_0 gives a z-statistic twice as large. Larger samples make a genuine shift in the mean easier to detect.

Try this

Q1. State the null hypothesis for a test of whether two variables are correlated. [1 mark]

  • Cue. H0 ⁣:ρ=0H_0\!: \rho = 0 (no correlation in the population).

Q2. A sample of 3636 from N(μ,62)N(\mu, 6^2) is used to test the mean. Find the standard error of the sample mean. [2 marks]

  • Cue. σn=636=1\dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \dfrac{6}{\sqrt{36}} = 1.

Q3. A sample r=0.55r = 0.55 is compared with a critical value of 0.600.60 in a one-tailed test. State the conclusion. [2 marks]

  • Cue. 0.55<0.600.55 < 0.60, so do not reject H0H_0: no significant evidence of correlation.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of WJEC exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

WJEC A2 style5 marksA sample of 12 pairs gives a product moment correlation coefficient of r=0.62r = 0.62. Test at the 5 per cent level whether there is positive correlation, given the critical value is 0.49730.4973.
Show worked answer →

Set up a one-tailed correlation test and compare the sample r with the critical value.

Let ρ\rho be the population correlation coefficient. H0 ⁣:ρ=0H_0\!: \rho = 0, H1 ⁣:ρ>0H_1\!: \rho > 0 (one-tailed, positive).

The critical value for n=12n = 12 at 5 per cent (one tail) is 0.49730.4973.

The sample r=0.62>0.4973r = 0.62 > 0.4973, so the result lies in the critical region.

Reject H0H_0: there is evidence at the 5 per cent level of positive correlation between the variables.

Markers reward stating the hypotheses in terms of ρ\rho, comparing rr with the critical value, and a conclusion in context. Testing rr against 00 rather than the tabulated critical value is the standard error.

WJEC A2 style6 marksA machine should produce rods of mean length 50cm50\,\text{cm} with standard deviation 2cm2\,\text{cm}. A sample of 16 rods has mean 51cm51\,\text{cm}. Test at the 5 per cent level whether the mean length has increased.
Show worked answer →

Use the distribution of the sample mean, which is Normal with the same mean and a standard deviation reduced by the square root of the sample size.

H0 ⁣:μ=50H_0\!: \mu = 50, H1 ⁣:μ>50H_1\!: \mu > 50 (one-tailed).

Under H0H_0, the sample mean XˉN ⁣(50,2216)\bar{X} \sim N\!\left(50, \dfrac{2^2}{16}\right), so its standard deviation is 216=0.5\dfrac{2}{\sqrt{16}} = 0.5.

Standardise the observed mean: z=51500.5=2z = \dfrac{51 - 50}{0.5} = 2.

Critical z for 5 per cent one tail is 1.64491.6449. Since 2>1.64492 > 1.6449, reject H0H_0.

There is evidence at the 5 per cent level that the mean length has increased. Markers reward the standard error σn\dfrac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}, the z-statistic of 22, the comparison with 1.64491.6449, and a conclusion in context.

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