How is naturally varying data distributed?
The shape of the normal distribution, symmetry about the mean, and the 68, 95, 99.7 percent rule.
A focused answer to AQA GCSE Statistics on the normal distribution, covering the bell-shaped curve, symmetry about the mean, the role of the standard deviation, and the 68, 95 and 99.7 percent rule.
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What this dot point is asking
AQA wants you to recognise the shape of the normal distribution, know it is symmetrical about the mean, understand how the standard deviation controls its width, and use the , , percent rule to estimate the proportion of data in a given range.
The shape of the normal distribution
Because it is symmetrical, the mean, median and mode all lie at the centre, directly under the peak. The curve never quite touches the horizontal axis: in principle values can lie any distance from the mean, but the chance of extreme values becomes vanishingly small. The normal distribution arises whenever a quantity is the result of many small, independent influences adding together, which is why heights, manufacturing variation and measurement errors so often look normal.
The role of the standard deviation
Two normal distributions can share a mean but look quite different: a sample of carefully machined parts has a small standard deviation (a tall, thin curve), while a sample of handmade parts has a large one (a short, wide curve). Total area under any normal curve is (it is a probability), so a taller curve must be narrower to keep the area fixed.
The 68, 95, 99.7 percent rule
By symmetry, the data outside a band is split equally between the two tails. Outside is , so lies in each tail; outside is , so in each tail; outside is , so in each tail. Splitting the band from the mean outward gives the useful half-band figures: mean to is , to is , and to is .
A reliable method for any range question is to convert each endpoint into a number of standard deviations from the mean, mark the half-band percentages on a quick sketch of the curve, and then add or subtract the regions you need. The exact figures are slightly higher than the round numbers (the bands are really , and ), but the rounded , , values are what AQA expects. Note that the rule only gives percentages at whole numbers of standard deviations; for endpoints in between, such as , you would need a standardised score and a table, which is the standardised-scores topic.
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of AQA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
AQA 20194 marksThe masses of apples are normally distributed with mean g and standard deviation g. (a) Between what two masses do about of the apples lie? (b) Estimate the percentage of apples with mass greater than g.Show worked answer →
(a) lie within standard deviations: g to g.
(b) g is standard deviation above the mean. About lie within standard deviation, so lie outside, and by symmetry half of that, , is above g.
Markers reward the band for part (a), and identifying g as above the mean then halving the tail for part (b).
AQA 20213 marksA normal distribution has mean and standard deviation . Estimate the percentage of values between and .Show worked answer →
is standard deviations (so below), and is standard deviation above.
From the mean to below covers half of , that is ; from the mean to above covers half of , that is .
Total .
Markers reward expressing each endpoint in standard deviations and summing the correct half-band percentages.
Related dot points
- Standardised scores, the standardised score formula, and using them to compare performance across distributions.
A focused answer to AQA GCSE Statistics on standardised scores, covering the standardised score formula, how to calculate it from the mean and standard deviation, and how to use it to compare performances from different distributions.
- Simple index numbers, the base year, the Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index, and chain base and weighted index numbers.
A focused answer to AQA GCSE Statistics on index numbers, covering simple index numbers and the base year, the Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index, chain base index numbers, and weighted index numbers.
- Variance and standard deviation, calculating standard deviation from a list and a frequency table, and interpreting it.
A focused answer to AQA GCSE Statistics on standard deviation, covering variance, calculating standard deviation from a list and from a frequency table, and interpreting standard deviation as spread around the mean.
- Probability distributions, the discrete uniform distribution, the binomial distribution, and expected values.
A focused answer to AQA GCSE Statistics on probability distributions, covering what a probability distribution is, the discrete uniform distribution, the binomial distribution, and calculating expected values.
Sources & how we know this
- AQA GCSE Statistics (8382) specification — AQA (2017)