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How do you track how prices and quantities change over time?

Simple index numbers, the base year, the Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index, and chain base and weighted index numbers.

A focused answer to AQA GCSE Statistics on index numbers, covering simple index numbers and the base year, the Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index, chain base index numbers, and weighted index numbers.

Generated by Claude Opus 4.89 min answer

Reviewed by: AI editorial process; not yet individually human-reviewed

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  1. What this dot point is asking
  2. Simple index numbers and the base year
  3. The Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index
  4. Chain base index numbers
  5. Weighted index numbers

What this dot point is asking

AQA wants you to calculate and interpret simple index numbers relative to a base year, understand the Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index, and work with chain base and weighted index numbers. Index numbers connect to time series (tracking change over time) and to the weighted mean from the summarising-data module.

Simple index numbers and the base year

Setting the base year to 100100 makes change easy to read: the index minus 100100 is the percentage change since the base year. An index of 120120 is a 20%20\% rise, 9595 is a 5%5\% fall, and exactly 100100 means no change. Because the base is fixed, every later year is measured against the same starting point, which is ideal for showing the total change over a long period.

The Retail Price Index and Consumer Price Index

The "basket" is a weighted selection of typical purchases, updated periodically so it reflects what households actually buy. Because some items (food, fuel, housing) take a larger share of spending, they are given more weight, which is why the RPI is a weighted index rather than a simple average of individual price indices.

Chain base index numbers

A chain base index compares each year with the previous year rather than a fixed base, so it shows year-on-year change. An index of 105105 on a chain base means a 5%5\% rise on the year before, not on a fixed base year. Chain base indices are useful for spotting the rate of change from one year to the next, whereas a fixed base shows the cumulative change since the start.

Weighted index numbers

A weighted index is a weighted mean of the individual indices, so a large price rise on a low-weight item moves the overall index less than a small rise on a high-weight item. This matches reality: a doubling in the price of a rarely bought luxury barely affects a typical household, while a modest rise in food prices hits everyone.

Index numbers connect to several other topics. They are the natural way to track a price or quantity over time, so they pair with time series graphs and trend analysis. The weighted index is just the weighted mean from the summarising-data module applied to indices, so the same wxw\frac{\sum wx}{\sum w} formula reappears. And reading "index minus 100100 as a percentage change" is the everyday use of inflation figures reported in the news, which is exactly why exam questions are framed around fuel, food and housing costs. Being fluent with the simple index, the base year and the weighted index covers almost every question AQA sets on this topic.

Exam-style practice questions

Practice questions written in the style of AQA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.

AQA 20194 marksA litre of fuel cost 128128p in 20152015 (the base year) and 154154p in 20222022. (a) Calculate the price index for 20222022 relative to 20152015. (b) State what your index tells you about the price change.
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(a) Index =154128×100=120.3= \frac{154}{128} \times 100 = 120.3 (to 11 decimal place).

(b) An index of about 120.3120.3 means the fuel price rose by about 20.3%20.3\% between 20152015 and 20222022.

Markers reward dividing current by base and multiplying by 100100, the value near 120120, and interpreting the rise as the index minus 100100 as a percentage.

AQA 20214 marksA household buys food (weight 55) and fuel (weight 22). The food price index is 110110 and the fuel price index is 135135. Calculate the weighted mean price index for the household and interpret it.
Show worked answer →

Weighted index =w×indexw=5×110+2×1355+2=550+2707=8207=117.1= \frac{\sum w \times \text{index}}{\sum w} = \frac{5 \times 110 + 2 \times 135}{5 + 2} = \frac{550 + 270}{7} = \frac{820}{7} = 117.1 (to 11 d.p.).

This means the household's overall cost rose by about 17.1%17.1\%, weighted toward food because it is bought more.

Markers reward multiplying each index by its weight, dividing by the total weight, the value near 117117, and a contextual interpretation.

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