How do populations change genetically over time and form new species?
Natural selection and the sources of variation, the Hardy-Weinberg principle and allele frequencies, types of selection, and the mechanisms of speciation.
A CCEA A-Level Biology answer on natural selection and the sources of variation, the Hardy-Weinberg principle and allele frequencies, types of selection, and the mechanisms of speciation.
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What this dot point is asking
CCEA wants you to explain natural selection and the sources of variation, use the Hardy-Weinberg principle to calculate allele frequencies, describe directional and stabilising selection, and explain the mechanisms of speciation.
Natural selection
Directional selection favours one extreme of a range and shifts the mean (for example antibiotic resistance, or larger beak size in a drought); stabilising selection favours the average and removes the extremes (for example human birth weight, where very small and very large babies have lower survival). Disruptive selection favours both extremes over the mean.
The Hardy-Weinberg principle
In practice you usually start from the recessive phenotype frequency, which equals (because only homozygous recessive individuals show the recessive trait), take the square root to find , then use and for the carrier frequency. Comparing real allele frequencies over time with the predicted equilibrium shows whether a population is evolving.
Speciation
A species is a group of organisms that can interbreed to produce fertile offspring. In allopatric speciation a geographical barrier (a river, mountain or sea) separates populations, which then experience different selection pressures, accumulate different mutations, and diverge until they are reproductively isolated. In sympatric speciation reproductive isolation arises within the same area, for example by behavioural, temporal or seasonal differences in mating. The result in both cases is two populations that can no longer interbreed to produce fertile offspring.
Examples in context
Example 1. Peppered moths and industrial melanism. Before industrialisation, pale peppered moths were camouflaged on lichen-covered trees and dark forms were eaten by birds. Soot from factories blackened tree bark, so the dark form became better camouflaged, survived more, and its allele frequency rose sharply in industrial areas. As air quality improved, the pale form recovered. This is a textbook case of directional selection driven by a changing selection pressure.
Example 2. Darwin's finches and allopatric speciation. Finches that colonised separate Galapagos islands faced different food sources, so beak shape was selected differently on each island. Over many generations, populations diverged so far that they no longer interbreed even where ranges overlap. This shows geographical isolation followed by divergent selection producing new species, the core of allopatric speciation.
Try this
Q1. In a population, the frequency of the recessive phenotype () is 0.16. Calculate the frequency of the recessive allele q. [1 mark]
- Cue. q is the square root of 0.16, so q = 0.4.
Q2. Explain how a geographical barrier can lead to speciation. [3 marks]
- Cue. Populations are isolated, face different selection pressures, diverge genetically and eventually cannot interbreed to produce fertile offspring.
Q3. In a population, the dominant allele frequency p is 0.8. Calculate the percentage expected to be homozygous dominant and the percentage that are carriers. [2 marks]
- Cue. Homozygous dominant (64 percent); carriers (32 percent).
Exam-style practice questions
Practice questions written in the style of CCEA exam questions on this dot point, with worked answer explainers. The year tag is the paper they imitate, not the source.
CCEA 20196 marksExplain how the overuse of antibiotics can lead to a population of bacteria that is resistant to the antibiotic.Show worked answer →
A 6-mark answer should set out variation, selection pressure, differential survival and the spread of the allele.
Variation: within a bacterial population there is genetic variation due to random mutation; by chance some bacteria carry an allele giving antibiotic resistance.
Selection pressure: when the antibiotic is used, it kills the non-resistant bacteria (the selection pressure).
Differential survival and reproduction: the resistant bacteria survive, reproduce (by binary fission) and pass on the resistance allele.
Increase in allele frequency: over generations the proportion of resistant bacteria rises until most of the population is resistant.
Overuse accelerates this by applying the selection pressure repeatedly, and resistance can spread between bacteria by plasmids.
Markers reward variation by mutation, the antibiotic as selection pressure, survival and reproduction of the resistant type, and the rise in allele frequency.
CCEA 20205 marksIn a population in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, 9 percent of individuals show a recessive condition. Calculate the frequency of the recessive allele, the dominant allele, and the percentage of the population who are carriers.Show worked answer →
A 5-mark answer needs the recessive frequency, then p, then the heterozygous percentage, with the equations stated.
The recessive phenotype frequency is .
Recessive allele frequency: .
Dominant allele frequency: since , .
Carrier (heterozygous) frequency: , so 42 percent are carriers.
Markers reward from the square root, from , and the carrier value from expressed as a percentage.
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Sources & how we know this
- CCEA GCE Biology specification — CCEA (2016)